1 Introduction 1.1 Overview 1.2 Objectives of the Book 1.3 Possible Applications 1.4 Historical Perspective 1.5 Uncertainties in the Building Process 2 Random Variables 2.1 Basic Definitions 2.2 Properties of Probability Functions 2.3 Parameters of a Random Variable 2.4 Common Random Variables 2.5 Probability Paper 2.6 Interpretation of Test Data Using Statistics 2.7 Conditional Probability 2.8 Random Vectors 2.9 Correlation 2.10 Bayesian Updating 3 Functions of Random Variables 3.1 Linear Functions of Random Variables 3.2 Linear Functions of Normal Varibles 3.3 Product of Lognormal Random Variables 3.4 Nonlinear Function of Random Variables 3.5 Central Limit Thearem 4 Simulation Techniques 4.1 Monte Carlo Methods 4.2 Latin Hypercube Sampling 4.3 Rosenblueth‘s 2K+1Point Estimate Method 5 Structural Safety Analysis 5.1 Limit States 5.2 Fundamental Case 5.3 Reliability Index 5.4 Rackwitz-Fiesser Procedure 5.5 Reliability Analysis Using Simulation 6 Structural Load Models 7 Models of Resistance 8 Design Codes 9 System Reliability 10 Uncertainties in the Buliding Process Bibliography Appendix 教师反馈表