趋势塑造教育

经济合作与发展组织（OECD）的“趋势塑造教育”系列首次出版于2008年，之后每两三年（2010年、2013年、2016年和2019年）出版一本，概述了主要经济、社会、人口和技术发展趋势，并指出这些趋势对教育的影响。已出版的5本涉及技能与福祉、城市与生物技术、数字技术、民主与年龄等主题。 作为该系列的最新版，本书于2022年出版，从经济增长、生活与工作、知识与权力、身份与归属以及变化的自然五大方面展示了多个发展趋势，并展望了这些趋势下未来教育的发展。本书还特别聚焦新冠疫情对全球趋势的影响，启发读者思考未来教育与我们目前的预期可能存在的差别，并在每章的教育展望部分使用OECD关于未来学校教育的四种图景（学校教育扩展、教育外包、学校作为学习中心、无边界学习），让读者在思考未来教育时有一个可行的框架。 本书以多元化的思维方法和视角对全球趋势发展和未来教育进行了描绘、想象，并设想了未来教育的四种图景，可以促进思考，激发想象，并为不确定未来做好准备。 本书读者对象广泛，既包括政策决策者、研究人员、教育领导人、行政人员和教师，也包括家长和学生等。

经济合作与发展组织（Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development，简称OECD）是各国政府合作商讨应对经济、社会和环境全球化挑战的特别组织。目前包括38个成员国。其出版物广泛传播该组织收集的统计数据，内容涉及教育、经济、社会和环境问题的研究结果，以及其成员国达成一致的协议、指导方针和标准。其教育方面的出版物主题广泛，内容前沿，视角独特。

纲要 ····························1 本书包含什么内容？ ····················2 未雨绸缪··························4 全球趋势与教育的未来 ······················5 什么是“趋势塑造教育”？ ··················5 趋势与未来思维························6 第一章　经济增长 ························13 本章概述及新冠疫情的影响 ····················14 日益繁荣······························16 新的增长点····························18 人口压力······························21 增长的变革·····························24 超越无限······························27 经济增长和教育的未来会如何？ ····················29 了解更多······························32 第二章　生活与工作 ···························37 本章概述及新冠疫情的影响 ······················38 为生活而工作，还是为工作而生活？ ··················40 新时代新的就业形式 ·························43 生活的量化 ·····························46 21世纪的家庭 ····························48 生活质量 ······························ 51 生活、工作和教育的未来会如何？ ····················54 了解更多 ·······························57 第三章　知识与权力 ····························61 本章概述及新冠疫情的影响 ·······················62 知识社会 ·······························64 人工智能：数据库体量足够大是否就不会出错？ ··············67 拓宽科学的疆域 ····························70 知识治理 ·······························72 对权力说真话 ·····························75 知识、权力和教育的未来会如何？ ····················78 了解更多 ·······························81 第四章　身份与归属 ·····························85 本章概述及新冠疫情的影响 ························86 走自己的路 ·······························88 这个世界并不大 ·····························91 说出你的想法 ······························94 人人为我，我为人人 ···························97 关于我们的众多资料 ···························100 身份、归属和教育的未来会如何？ ·····················102 了解更多 ································105 第五章　不断变化的自然 ··························109 本章概述及新冠疫情的影响 ·······················110 再无第二个地球 ·····························112 自然世界 ································115 发人深思的食品·····························118 我们的身体·······························121 没有人生活在网络空间 ··························124 不断变化的自然和教育的未来会如何？ ···················127 了解更多 ································130 译后记 ···································135