与人口增长和快速城市化一起，海平面上升可
能构成沿海低洼地区如佛罗里达州生物多样性保护
最大的挑战。为了应对海平面上升和未来的土地利
用变化，辨识可以适应未来变化的生态保护网络变
得尤为重要。本书的目的就是介绍由作者基于地理
信息系统（Geographical Information Systems
；GIS)平台所创建的空间保护规划模型，并探讨了
将经济因素融入规划过程所带来的生态保护优先地
（Conservation Priorities）的变化，以及在不
同的海平面上升影响模型-地理数据组合（Model-
dataset combination）下适应性规划结果的变化
。
目录
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
PREFACE
FOREWORD
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Challenges for Ecological Conservation in Florida
1.1.1 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise
1.1.2 Land Use Change
1.2 Conservation Planning and Reserve Design
1.3 Sea Level Rise and Spatial Conservation Prioritization
1.4 Study Area
CHAPTER 2 CONSERVATION PRIORITIZATION IN RESPONSE TO SEA LEVEL RISE AND LAND USE CHANGE
2.1 Coastal Habitat Change Due to Sea Level Rise
2.2 Methods
2.2.1 Sea Level Rise Scenarios
2.2.2 Predicting Species Habitat Using Species Habitat Models
2.2.3 Landscape Prioritization with Zonation
2.3 Results
2.3.1 Species Habitat Change
2.3.2 Conservation Prioritization
2.3.3 Assessing the Current Reserve System
2.3.4 Assessing the updated Florida Ecological Greenways Network (FEGN)
2.3.5 Assessing the Critical Lands and Waters Identification Project (CLIP) Database
2.3.6 Assessing Projected Development
2.4 Discussion
2.5 Conclusions
CHAPTER 3 INCORPORATING ECONOMIC CONCEPTS INTO SEA LEVEL RISE ADAPTIVE CONSERVATION PLANNING AND RESERVE DESIGN
3.1 Economic Concepts in Conservation Planning and Reserve Design
3.2 Methods
3.2.1 Estimating Conservation Costs
3.2.2 Integrating Conservation Costs in SLR Adaptive Conservation Planning
3.2.3 Estimating Conservation Benefits
3.3 Results
3.3.1 Conservation Costs
3.3.2 Conservation Prioritization Considering Economic Costs
3.3.3 Conservation Benefits
3.4 Discussion
CHAPTER 4 THE VALUE OF DATA ACCURACY AND MODEL SOPHISTICATION IN SEA LEVEL RISE ADAPTIVE CONSERVATION PRIORITIZATION
4.1 Uncertainties in Sea Level Rise Adaptive Conservation Planning
4.1.1 Uncertainty in Choosing Elevation Data and Coastal Impact Models
4.1.2 Uncertainty in Elevation Dataset Vertical Accuracy
4.2 Methods
4.2.1 Sea Level Rise Scenario
4.2.2 Model-dataset Combinations
4.2.3 Comparison of Conservation Prioritization with Different Model-Dataset Combinations
4.3 Results and Discussion
4.3.1 Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment
4.3.2 Land Cover Impacts with Different Model-dataset Combinations
4.3.3 Species Habitat with Different Model-dataset Combinations
4.3.4 Conservation Prioritization with Different Model-dataset Combinations
4.4 Conclusions
CHAPTER 5 SUMMARY, POLICY ISSUES, AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary of the Research and Findings
5.1.1 Sea Level Rise Adaptive Conservation Planning and Reserve Design
5.1.2 Economic Concepts in Conservation Planning and Reserve Design
5.1.3 Impacts of Model and Elevation Data Accuracy in Sea Level Rise Adaptive Conservation Planning and Reserve Design
5.2 Shortcomings and Future Research
5.3 Land Conservation Policy Issues for Adaptation to Sea Level Rise
5.3.1 Land Protection
5.3.2 Growth Management
5.4 Transferability to Other Coastal Regions and Integration to Other Coastal Decision Tools
APPENDIX A SPECIES HABITAT MODELING DESCRIPTION FOR AMERICAN OYSTERCATCHER
Summary
Model Steps
Model Script
APPENDIX B FOCAL SPECIES IN THE MATANZAS RIVER BASIN STUDY AREA
APPENDIX C THE RUN SETTINGS FILE USED IN ZONATION
APPENDIX D SPECIES HABITAT CHANGE DUE TO SEA LEVEL RISE AND LAND USE CHANGE
APPENDIX E THE RUN SETTINGS FILE USED IN ZONATION
APPENDIX F CROSSWALK BETWEEN SLAMM AND FLUCCS
REFERENCES
FIGURES
