情报与智库

具有中国特色的科技情报工作实践和智库建设对于情报学创新发展具有重要的推动作用。随着大数据智能时代的到来，情报与智库的研究范围不断扩展，内在联系更加紧密，理论体系日趋完善，实践价值日益提升。本书系统地研究了我国的“情报与智库”理论方法，具有十分重大的学术价值和实践意义。

目　录 第1 章　情报与智库的基本认知································································ 1 1.1　情报与情报学 ················································································ 1 1.1.1　情报···················································································· 1 1.1.2　情报学················································································· 7 1.1.3　情报工作·············································································10 1.2　智库与智库研究·············································································14 1.2.1　智库···················································································14 1.2.2　智库研究·············································································21 1.2.3　智库工作·············································································26 1.3　情报与智库的关系··········································································27 1.3.1　情报机构与智库的特点···························································28 1.3.2　情报与智库关联性·································································31 1.3.3　情报、智库与战略决策···························································35 1.4　本章小结······················································································37 第2 章　情报机构与智库的发展运行························································39 2.1　情报机构与智库发展概况·································································39 2.1.1　情报机构发展概况·································································39 2.1.2　智库发展概况·······································································44 2.2　情报机构与智库的功能····································································47 2.2.1　情报机构的功能····································································47 2.2.2　智库的功能··········································································55 2.2.3　情报机构与智库的功能关系·····················································60 2.3　情报机构与智库的运行机制······························································62 2.3.1　情报机构运行机制·································································62 2.3.2　智库运行机制·······································································69 2.3.3　情报机构与智库运行机制的相互作用·········································77 2.4　本章小结······················································································82 第3 章　情报流程支撑智库核心能力························································83 3.1　情报流程的演变 ············································································83 3.1.1　目标驱动的情报流程······························································84 3.1.2　大数据环境下的情报流程························································87 3.2　智库核心能力················································································92 3.2.1　智库核心能力的概念······························································92 3.2.2　智库核心能力的分析过程························································95 3.2.3　智库核心能力的构成···························································· 100 3.3　情报流程与智库核心能力的关系······················································ 106 3.3.1　借鉴情报流程的整体优势，提升智库核心能力··························· 106 3.3.2　运用情报流程动态迭代特点，促进智库知识生产能力螺旋上升······ 109 3.3.3　情报刻画、表达技术有利于提升智库表达和传播能力·················· 114 3.4　本章小结···················································································· 116 第4 章　智库运行的数据信息保障························································· 117 4.1　智库的数据信息需求····································································· 117 4.1.1　智库的数据信息需求产生······················································ 118 4.1.2　智库的数据信息需求的基本特征············································· 119 4.1.3　智库的数据信息需求分析····················································· 120 4.2　智库的数据信息源········································································ 123 4.2.1　智库的数据信息源类型························································· 123 4.2.2　智库重点关注的数据信息源··················································· 126 4.3　智库信息组织与管理····································································· 128 4.3.1　智库信息组织和管理的主流观点············································· 128 4.3.2　智库信息的组织和管理························································· 130 4.3.3　智库信息组织方法······························································· 133 4.4　智库的信息平台建设····································································· 138 4.4.1　国内外智库信息平台建设概述················································ 139 4.4.2　智库信息平台建设构架························································· 141 4.4.3　智库信息平台建设的典型工具················································ 144 4.5　本章小结···················································································· 157 第5 章　智库工作中的情报分析方法······················································ 158 5.1　情报分析方法体系及特点······························································· 158 5.1.1　传统情报分析方法体系························································· 158 5.1.2　大数据时代的情报分析范式··················································· 163 5.2　智库工作的研究方法····································································· 170 5.2.1　预测规划类方法·································································· 171 5.2.2　优选类方法········································································ 174 5.2.3　评估类方法········································································ 175 5.2.4　其他方法··········································································· 177 5.3　情报分析与智库工作方法对比························································· 178 5.3.1　情报分析方法与智库工作方法的共同点···································· 178 5.3.2　情报分析方法与智库工作方法的不同······································· 180 5.3.3　情报分析方法在智库中的应用················································ 183 5.4　本章小结···················································································· 187 第6 章　情报视角下的智库评价····························································· 189 6.1　智库评价的情报视角····································································· 189 6.1.1　智库评价的情报属性···························································· 190 6.1.2　智库评价的情报价值···························································· 191 6.1.3　智库评价的情报功能···························································· 192 6.2　智库评价与情报工作的关系···························································· 193 6.2.1　智库评价与情报工作的共性··················································· 193 6.2.2　智库评价与情报工作流程······················································ 194 6.2.3　智库评价与情报工作方法······················································ 196 6.2.4　情报机构在智库评价中的作用················································ 197 6.3　智库评价案例的情报学评析···························································· 198 6.3.1　国外智库评价案例分析························································· 198 6.3.2　国内智库评价案例分析························································· 201 6.4　智库评价特点分析········································································ 206 6.4.1　情报的充分性····································································· 206 6.4.2　理论与方法的科学性···························································· 206 6.4.3　信息平台的权威性与数据的可靠性·········································· 207 6.5　本章小结···················································································· 208 第7 章　智库建设背景下的情报机构改革··············································· 209 7.1　情报机构改革的动因与条件···························································· 209 7.1.1　改革动因··········································································· 210 7.1.2　改革条件··········································································· 215 7.2　 情报机构改革转型路径································································· 219 7.2.1　情报机构与智库一体化发展路径············································· 220 7.2.2　情报机构业务迭代升级型路径················································ 221 7.2.3　情报机构与智库联合协作化路径············································· 222 7.2.4　情报机构的合作共享能力提升路径·········································· 224 7.3　情报机构改革的举措与成效···························································· 227 7.3.1　打通情报与智库的理论链条··················································· 227 7.3.2　推进治理体系和治理能力现代化，完善新型智库的治理结构········· 229 7.3.3　发掘思想成果价值，建设开放的智库思想市场··························· 230 7.3.4　形成适应新形势和新需求的工程实践能力································· 231 7.4　本章小结···················································································· 234 第8 章　情报与智库发展展望································································ 236 8.1　数据智能技术驱动情报全流程变革与智库创新发展······························ 236 8.1.1　数据智能技术将持续推动社会变革·········································· 236 8.1.2　新时代情报机构与智库面临的挑战·········································· 239 8.1.3　数据智能技术促进情报机构与智库转型···································· 242 8.2　情报赋能智库实现跨越发展，智库提升情报价值································· 247 8.2.1　情报学方法技术为智库研究提供了新的理论方法支持·················· 247 8.2.2　面向智库的情报学学科发展··················································· 249 8.2.3　智库提升情报学应用价值······················································ 251 8.3　数据智能时代情报、智库与战略决策的良性互动································· 253 8.3.1　情报研究与智库是战略决策的“左膀右臂”······························ 254 8.3.2　不断提升情报与智库的决策支持能力······································· 255 8.3.3　数据智能时代的“敏捷情报”和“智库智囊”·························· 257 8.4　本章小结····